James Byrne, marketing manager PML Group, with this week’s view from Out of Home.
100% increase in traffic volumes over 8 weeks
A real sense of optimism is in the air – both in society as a whole and from our viewpoint in the world of Out of Home media. Our medium is traded primarily in two-week cycles and the current cycle – cycle 13 – is the best performing for the medium since mid-March. Advertisers including Mondelez, Charleville, Danone, Diageo, Lidl, Kellogg’s and Sky are active across numerous formats and environments. This has followed a steady trend of more and more active advertisers gravitating back to OOH. Advertisers seek audience and the recovery of the OOH audience has been sharp and is gaining momentum week by week, as we have chronicled in this Now Near Next series.
That momentum continues this week with more encouraging mobility statistics form multiple data sources. One of those sources, Transport Infrastructure Ireland reported this week that traffic volumes have doubled since April 22nd and Apple figures reveal that 75% of the counties it measures have returned to baseline levels of traffic. Hospitality is set to take off again within days now and retail is more or less fully reopened now with non-essential outlets within malls back in business this week. We delve into some of those data points this week and show how OOH is perfectly placed to capitalise on new audience behaviours in retail and entertainment.
TII – Car Traffic Doubles in eight weeks
The National Road Car Traffic Report released by the TII on Wednesday shows that traffic volumes have doubled over eight weeks from the 22nd April with an overall weekly increase of +5%. The survey provides traffic trend information derived from a small sample set of traffic counters located on the national road network including major motorways and national roads. The information covers the morning period from 7am until 10am. The trend for car traffic from this period of the day generally correlates closely with the overall daily trend in car traffic at each location.
75% of counties in Ireland back at baseline levels – Apple
Apple’s routing requests reveal daily trends in mobility. The latest data to Wednesday 17th June shows driving in Ireland stands at 87% of the start point in January and up 12% in the past week.
Monday’s release showed the highest count of transit in Dublin since the outbreak of the pandemic with a seven day increase of 23%. Driving routing requests are now above the baseline figure in 15 of the 20 counties measured, including Cork at +7%. Driving in Northern Ireland is also now at parity with baseline.
Locomizer and Shopping Centres
This week we’ve fused Locomizer auto volumes with the 119 shopping centres contained in our Pinpoint mapping database of POIs. The timeframe covers six days in the lead up to and including Monday 15th June when shopping centres opened to the public as part of the government’s roadmap. Hotspots are visualised based on a combination of time and users giving a complete picture of mobility. The heatmap below shows activity in and around key retail destinations including Dundrum, Blanchardstown and Liffey Valley while also reporting strong city centre auto mobility which encompasses both cars and buses. These outputs can be further overlaid with OOH panels to give brands the opportunity to engage the expanding OOH audience on the path to purchase.
Just Eat dublinbikes sees 77% journey increase
Data from JCDecaux and Just Eat dublinbikes this week shows that for the entire month of May, the number of journeys taken via the bike sharing scheme had increased by 77%, compared to April. The same figure for the first half of May had been 64%, indicating a percentage increase considerably higher than 77% in the second half of the month. These figures are indicative of the returning city centre audience and what makes them even more encouraging is the fact that they are derived from the period before the easing of lockdown restrictions with regard to city centre retail came into effect.
Pubs and cinemas set for earlier reopening
With restaurants already allowed to open from June 29th, there was more good news this week for the hospitality and leisure sectors with pubs and cinemas looking set to reopen in the near future.
This is of course a further positive development for OOH media with these sectors attracting more audience on top of the increased mobility of audience around the country and the full reopening of the retail sector last week.
According to reports this week, pubs will be allowed to reopen from June 29th provided a substantial meal is being served to customers, costing at least €9. Research from Amárach this week indicates that 34% of respondents claim they will be among the first back to their favourite restaurant or pub when they reopen.
For movie fans, it appears that they may be able to get their fix sooner than expected with Extra.ie reporting earlier in the week that cinemas may be moved to an earlier phase of the government roadmap than previously anticipated. Cineworld in the UK this week confirmed all its cinemas would be open by July 10th and some sooner. The CineD network of 42 screens across 22 locations nationally is an ideal platform to engage film fans. Likewise, digital screens in shopping malls can also target cinema goers at these locations. They are also an effective way of promoting films to a receptive audience.
Just as retail reopenings attracted large queues and well times, we would also expect a high demand among consumers to reconnect with friends and family through these channels. Indeed, our own research conducted by IpsosMRBI in April highlighted eating out, cinema and pubs among the activities people were most looking forward to doing again as lockdown restrictions eased. Further research from the US and released locally this week by Wide Eye Media also highlights consumers desire to return to the big screen.
53,000 Golf Bookings in One Minute!
The appetite of Irish people to return to sport and outdoor pursuits was highlighted this week with figures showing record levels of golf club bookings in Ireland and UK since courses reopened on a restricted basis on May 18th.
These types of numbers correlate with record levels of cycling and recreational walking reported by Sport Ireland in recent weeks. As team sports open up again in the coming weeks, we will see more and more people out and about, enjoying robust physical exercise again, and in a much more positive frame of mind.
Kellogg’s Cúl Camps get go ahead for summer
Good news for parents and children alike this week with the GAA announcing that the 2020 Kellogg’s Cúl Camps will begin on 20 July. It comes in conjunction with the Safe Return to Gaelic Games Document and the easing of restrictions brought into place due to the coronavirus pandemic.
Club venues which will be able to cater for children who take part in the camps will be confirmed on Monday, 22 June. Camp schedules may be reduced in certain counties while capacity at certain locations and venues may be reduced due to health and safety protocols that will be put in place.
Drive-In matches help fire football’s flames
Drive-in gigs and movies are set to be a popular summer phenomenon in Ireland, as we highlighted recently in Now, Near, Next. This trend is now extending to the domain of televised sport with news this week that the RDS is to host a drive-in Premier League match this Sunday.
A 12-metre x 5 metre LED screen will allow up to 800 people to watch the Everton v Liverpool derby match from a maximum of 200 cars. Commentary from Sky Sports can be accessed via car radios. The shape of things to come surely, with the Premier League and major European competitions set to be concluded across the summer. Sport, whether witnessing live at stadia or via TV, is for so many a shared experience that they long to be part of again and initiatives like this are a welcome opportunity for fans to be part of a collective again, in a safe environment.
The Ballsbridge venue is extensively served with high quality digital and classic roadside OOH formats and events such as these will drive traffic in these areas at traditionally less busy weekend and night times.
Similar events are also taking place in Dundalk for the Spurs v Man Utd game on Friday and the Merseyside Derby on Sunday.
79% of Rail Users intend to maintain or increase pre-Covid travel levels
Research undertaken by Iarnród Éireann in recent days among more than 5,000 of its customers reveals that a great majority intend to get back to pre-Covid frequency of train travel. And in the case of just over 10% respondents, they intend to actually travel more by train than they did previously.
Cleanliness and the ability to social distance on the train are now more important to users than perennial travel concerns such as punctuality and reliability. However, more than 25% of respondents intend to travel by train within a week of government restrictions being lifted, with a further 31% intending to return to the train within a month.
No Going Back?
A briefing document published by Amárach this week called No Going Back points out that it takes about 60 days for a habit to become an automatic i.e. something you do without thinking. By the time the final phase of the government roadmap ends we will have spent 150 days acquiring new habits – one of those is our shopping habits. The shopping mission is perhaps more so a ‘mission’ than ever – queue outside, wear a mask, keep moving within store and pay via card. Shopping locally is another new habit and 87% agree they will buy more from local shops if they can going forward. 79% will continue to be cautious about going to the shops. This ‘get in, buy what you need, get out’ type mentality suggests less browsing, less thinking on your feet and less impulse purchases in store.
In turn, it suggests that the importance of influencing the shopping list prior to entering the supermarket is more important than ever for FMCG brands and this will remain the case in the ‘Next’. Out of Home has long been recognised as the ‘Last Window of Influence’ as it is the channel most consumers will encounter last before entering a store – both en-route, in car parks and at entrances to stores. OOH can influence the shopping list by driving mental availability and awareness of products. If brands can make the final connection with shoppers with relevant and flexible messaging it will bear fruit a few minutes later in store. Shopping local and with purpose plays to some of OOH’s key strengths – location and context.
Economy overtakes health as Number 1 worry
Amárach this week published their latest Public Opinion Tracking Research on Coronavirus, among a national sample of 1,800. Among many subjects covered in the extensive study is a section on anxiety and sources of worry. When it comes to overall worry about Coronavirus the trend is downwards and it has reached it’s lowest level since early March. The current average eon a scale of 1-10 is 5.3, compared to a peak of 7.3 in late March.
Interestingly, the economy has overtaken health of family and friends an the number one source of worry among the sample with the economy registering a worry score of 3.7/5 compared to health now at 3.4/5, down from its March peak of 4.1.
Most people (57%) believe the worst of the Coronavirus crisis in Ireland is now behind us, however a significant proportion (16%) believe the worst is still to come.
Younger age groups keenest to return to workplace
Another briefing from Amárach called Perspectives from Working from Home highlights high levels of frustration, stress, boredom, and loneliness caused by working and living in the same space.
This is particularly true for the under 35s, who are most keen to return to a workplace environment.
Ultimately, twice as many would prefer to work in the workplace as against home – and higher among Dubliners and younger age groups.
Surge in holiday spending seen in BOI analysis
Audiences rushed to shopping centres this week as retail outlets around the country reopened for the first time since their closure nearly three months ago. Two months ahead of schedule, Dundrum Town Centre and other large retail hubs fully reopened this week.
The city centre got off to a promising start last week with huge numbers visiting the city to peruse their favourite shops after a lengthy period without the physical retail experience. DublinTown reported an average daily footfall of 162,000 in the city centre last week.
New analysis on Bank of Ireland debit card transactions shows that spend on other areas of retail is up by 56%. Tracking spend across a week period (8th -14th June), Bank of Ireland compared it with the average spend during the lockdown from March 28 to June 7 to identify trends in consumer spending patterns.
Holidays are top of mind for consumers with debit card spend on booking accommodation up 101%. With restaurants and coffee shops catering to takeaway and delivery services, consumer spend was up 63%.
As increasing numbers travelled to urban centres in the 1st week of retailers reopening, transport spend rose by 115%. On a downward trend, entertainment and gaming spend was down by 11% and 21% respectively – a sign people may not be spending as much time indoors now that restrictions have eased.
Research in the UK publication, The Grocer, recently revealed that 60% of UK shoppers are spending up to 20 minutes standing in a queue, while 15% queue for more than 20 minutes. This is a huge opportunity for Out of Home, located at the entrances of many retailers and dotted across shopping centres. As retail rebounds, mental availability of consumers will be paramount. Brands can now build up purchase intent as normality resumes in the retail sector.